Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000279 0.000313 0.000348 0.000389 0.000434 0.000483 0.000540
2025-04-27 0.000240 0.000286 0.000338 0.000402 0.000478 0.000565 0.000672
2025-05-04 0.000207 0.000261 0.000326 0.000409 0.000512 0.000638 0.000800
2025-05-11 0.000182 0.000241 0.000314 0.000413 0.000543 0.000707 0.000930
2025-05-18 0.000159 0.000220 0.000299 0.000410 0.000562 0.000762 0.001046
2025-05-25 0.000143 0.000206 0.000291 0.000415 0.000591 0.000831 0.001184
2025-06-01 0.000128 0.000190 0.000278 0.000411 0.000606 0.000881 0.001299
2025-06-08 0.000115 0.000178 0.000269 0.000410 0.000624 0.000936 0.001425
2025-06-15 0.000106 0.000168 0.000262 0.000412 0.000645 0.000996 0.001561
2025-06-22 0.000096 0.000158 0.000252 0.000409 0.000659 0.001045 0.001685
2025-06-29 0.000090 0.000152 0.000249 0.000414 0.000686 0.001116 0.001847
2025-07-06 0.000083 0.000145 0.000244 0.000416 0.000707 0.001178 0.001998
2025-07-13 0.000076 0.000136 0.000235 0.000412 0.000718 0.001227 0.002136
2025-07-20 0.000073 0.000133 0.000236 0.000424 0.000759 0.001329 0.002371
2025-07-27 0.000068 0.000128 0.000234 0.000431 0.000789 0.001414 0.002585
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000124 0.000230 0.000435 0.000816 0.001496 0.002799
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000117 0.000223 0.000432 0.000829 0.001554 0.002973
2025-08-17 0.000056 0.000113 0.000221 0.000437 0.000858 0.001641 0.003209
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000107 0.000214 0.000432 0.000868 0.001695 0.003384
2025-08-31 0.000048 0.000103 0.000209 0.000431 0.000884 0.001761 0.003588
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000099 0.000205 0.000433 0.000905 0.001837 0.003818
2025-09-14 0.000043 0.000094 0.000200 0.000430 0.000916 0.001896 0.004017
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000092 0.000199 0.000435 0.000947 0.001995 0.004305